Paganese vs Virtus Francavilla analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
34.1%
Win probability
1.06
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.6%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.8%
3-0
2.3%
4-1
0.7%
5-2
0.1%
+3
3%
2-0
6.4%
3-1
2.5%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
9.3%
1-0
12%
2-1
7.1%
3-2
1.4%
4-3
0.1%
+1
20.7%
29.3%
Draw
0-0
11.3%
1-1
13.4%
2-2
4%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
29.3%
36.6%
Win probability
1.12
Expected goals
0-1
12.6%
1-2
7.5%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.1%
-1
21.7%
0-2
7%
1-3
2.8%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
10.3%
0-3
2.6%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.1%
-3
3.5%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-37%
-11%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Paganese
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Oct. 2017 |
FIA
0 - 0
PAG
50%
26%
25%
|
46 | 50 | 4 | 0 |
| 03 Oct. 2017 |
PAG
0 - 0
TRA
10%
20%
70%
|
45 | 68 | 23 | +1 |
| 29 Sep. 2017 |
MAT
2 - 1
PAG
60%
23%
17%
|
46 | 53 | 7 | -1 |
| 23 Sep. 2017 |
PAG
1 - 2
JUS
27%
26%
47%
|
47 | 53 | 6 | -1 |
| 16 Sep. 2017 |
AKR
2 - 0
PAG
37%
26%
37%
|
48 | 43 | 5 | -1 |
Matches
Virtus Francavilla
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Oct. 2017 |
FRA
2 - 1
SIC
56%
24%
20%
|
51 | 46 | 5 | 0 |
| 03 Oct. 2017 |
CAS
0 - 2
FRA
46%
28%
27%
|
50 | 50 | 0 | +1 |
| 30 Sep. 2017 |
FRA
1 - 1
REG
47%
26%
27%
|
50 | 49 | 1 | 0 |
| 23 Sep. 2017 |
REN
0 - 1
FRA
36%
29%
35%
|
50 | 46 | 4 | 0 |
| 17 Sep. 2017 |
FRA
0 - 3
CAT
37%
28%
34%
|
51 | 56 | 5 | -1 |