Paganese vs Poggibonsi analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
67.5%
Win probability
2.13
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.9%
5-0
1.9%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.5%
4-0
4.5%
5-1
1.6%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.3%
3-0
8.4%
4-1
3.7%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
12.8%
2-0
11.9%
3-1
6.9%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.5%
1-0
11.2%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.2%
19.3%
Draw
0-0
5.3%
1-1
9.2%
2-2
4%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
19.3%
13.3%
Win probability
0.82
Expected goals
0-1
4.3%
1-2
3.8%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
9.3%
0-2
1.8%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-48%
-21%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Paganese
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 May. 2007 |
VIN
0 - 0
PAG
36%
26%
38%
|
48 | 45 | 3 | 0 |
| 29 Apr. 2007 |
PAG
3 - 2
BSL
61%
21%
18%
|
48 | 42 | 6 | 0 |
| 22 Apr. 2007 |
SPA
3 - 0
PAG
49%
26%
25%
|
49 | 50 | 1 | -1 |
| 15 Apr. 2007 |
PAG
4 - 2
ASC
46%
26%
28%
|
48 | 51 | 3 | +1 |
| 07 Apr. 2007 |
ROV
1 - 1
PAG
35%
25%
40%
|
48 | 41 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
Poggibonsi
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 May. 2007 |
USP
2 - 2
VIT
41%
27%
33%
|
41 | 43 | 2 | 0 |
| 29 Apr. 2007 |
UCG
2 - 4
USP
62%
22%
16%
|
39 | 46 | 7 | +2 |
| 29 Apr. 2007 |
USP
0 - 0
ASG
43%
27%
31%
|
40 | 44 | 4 | -1 |
| 15 Apr. 2007 |
BSL
3 - 0
USP
52%
24%
23%
|
40 | 40 | 0 | 0 |
| 07 Apr. 2007 |
FOL
1 - 0
USP
66%
21%
13%
|
41 | 51 | 10 | -1 |