Paganese vs Calcio Foggia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
16.9%
Win probability
0.82
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.7%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
1%
2-0
2.5%
3-1
1.2%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
4%
1-0
6.2%
2-1
4.4%
3-2
1.1%
4-3
0.1%
+1
11.8%
23%
Draw
0-0
7.6%
1-1
10.9%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
23%
60%
Win probability
1.77
Expected goals
0-1
13.4%
1-2
9.6%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
25.6%
0-2
11.8%
1-3
5.7%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
18.6%
0-3
7%
1-4
2.5%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
9.9%
0-4
3.1%
1-5
0.9%
2-6
0.1%
-4
4.1%
0-5
1.1%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1.4%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.4%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-26%
-11%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Paganese
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Mar. 2022 |
FRA
3 - 3
PAG
69%
20%
11%
|
40 | 55 | 15 | 0 |
| 05 Mar. 2022 |
PAG
0 - 2
AVE
18%
25%
57%
|
40 | 57 | 17 | 0 |
| 19 Feb. 2022 |
PAG
0 - 3
MON
32%
26%
42%
|
42 | 48 | 6 | -2 |
| 15 Feb. 2022 |
FCC
1 - 0
PAG
70%
20%
10%
|
43 | 60 | 17 | -1 |
| 12 Feb. 2022 |
PAG
2 - 1
CAM
40%
26%
34%
|
42 | 44 | 2 | +1 |
Matches
Calcio Foggia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Mar. 2022 |
USF
3 - 2
PIC
61%
22%
17%
|
55 | 48 | 7 | 0 |
| 05 Mar. 2022 |
TAR
1 - 1
USF
18%
25%
57%
|
55 | 45 | 10 | 0 |
| 26 Feb. 2022 |
USF
2 - 2
BAR
36%
27%
37%
|
55 | 61 | 6 | 0 |
| 22 Feb. 2022 |
TUR
3 - 1
USF
27%
25%
48%
|
56 | 48 | 8 | -1 |
| 19 Feb. 2022 |
MON
0 - 1
USF
30%
27%
43%
|
55 | 52 | 3 | +1 |