Paganese vs Calcio Foggia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
13.9%
Win probability
0.73
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.5%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.7%
2-0
2%
3-1
0.9%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
3%
1-0
5.4%
2-1
3.7%
3-2
0.9%
4-3
0.1%
+1
10%
21.5%
Draw
0-0
7.3%
1-1
10.1%
2-2
3.5%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
21.5%
64.6%
Win probability
1.88
Expected goals
0-1
13.8%
1-2
9.5%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
25.7%
0-2
13%
1-3
6%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
20%
0-3
8.1%
1-4
2.8%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
11.3%
0-4
3.8%
1-5
1.1%
2-6
0.1%
-4
5%
0-5
1.4%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1.8%
0-6
0.4%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.5%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-22%
-23%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Paganese
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Nov. 2016 |
PAG
2 - 0
TAR
41%
26%
33%
|
44 | 44 | 0 | 0 |
| 30 Oct. 2016 |
CAT
2 - 1
PAG
77%
16%
7%
|
44 | 60 | 16 | 0 |
| 23 Oct. 2016 |
PAG
1 - 2
JUS
26%
27%
48%
|
45 | 52 | 7 | -1 |
| 16 Oct. 2016 |
NUO
2 - 1
PAG
60%
25%
16%
|
45 | 54 | 9 | 0 |
| 09 Oct. 2016 |
PAG
3 - 0
ASM
50%
27%
23%
|
44 | 42 | 2 | +1 |
Matches
Calcio Foggia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Nov. 2016 |
FIA
2 - 0
USF
9%
14%
77%
|
63 | 50 | 13 | 0 |
| 06 Nov. 2016 |
USF
0 - 0
CAT
60%
23%
17%
|
63 | 59 | 4 | 0 |
| 31 Oct. 2016 |
LEC
0 - 0
USF
39%
26%
35%
|
63 | 62 | 1 | 0 |
| 23 Oct. 2016 |
USF
4 - 1
MON
73%
18%
9%
|
62 | 49 | 13 | +1 |
| 19 Oct. 2016 |
USF
4 - 1
JUS
62%
21%
17%
|
62 | 54 | 8 | 0 |