Paganese vs Taranto analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
40.9%
Win probability
1.39
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.1%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.6%
3-0
3.3%
4-1
1.4%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.9%
2-0
7.1%
3-1
4%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
12.1%
1-0
10.3%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.7%
26.2%
Draw
0-0
7.4%
1-1
12.5%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.2%
32.9%
Win probability
1.22
Expected goals
0-1
9%
1-2
7.6%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
19%
0-2
5.5%
1-3
3.1%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9.3%
0-3
2.2%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.3%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-22%
-12%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Paganese
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Oct. 2016 |
CAT
2 - 1
PAG
77%
16%
7%
|
44 | 60 | 16 | 0 |
| 23 Oct. 2016 |
PAG
1 - 2
JUS
26%
27%
48%
|
45 | 52 | 7 | -1 |
| 16 Oct. 2016 |
NUO
2 - 1
PAG
60%
25%
16%
|
45 | 54 | 9 | 0 |
| 09 Oct. 2016 |
PAG
3 - 0
ASM
50%
27%
23%
|
44 | 42 | 2 | +1 |
| 05 Oct. 2016 |
PAG
1 - 1
FRA
50%
27%
23%
|
44 | 42 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Taranto
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Nov. 2016 |
TAR
1 - 1
NUO
27%
26%
47%
|
44 | 52 | 8 | 0 |
| 30 Oct. 2016 |
TAR
1 - 1
MES
44%
27%
29%
|
44 | 45 | 1 | 0 |
| 23 Oct. 2016 |
AKR
1 - 1
TAR
64%
20%
16%
|
43 | 49 | 6 | +1 |
| 16 Oct. 2016 |
TAR
0 - 2
FON
50%
25%
24%
|
45 | 43 | 2 | -2 |
| 09 Oct. 2016 |
FCC
3 - 1
TAR
35%
27%
38%
|
46 | 45 | 1 | -1 |