Paganese vs Virtus Lanciano analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
47.5%
Win probability
1.42
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.6%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
<0%
+4
2%
3-0
4.4%
4-1
1.5%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.1%
2-0
9.3%
3-1
4.2%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
14.3%
1-0
13.1%
2-1
9%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.3%
26.9%
Draw
0-0
9.2%
1-1
12.6%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.9%
25.7%
Win probability
0.97
Expected goals
0-1
8.9%
1-2
6.1%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
16.6%
0-2
4.3%
1-3
2%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
6.6%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.9%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Paganese
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Oct. 2008 |
TAR
0 - 1
PAG
59%
24%
17%
|
48 | 57 | 9 | 0 |
| 12 Oct. 2008 |
PAG
0 - 1
CAV
33%
27%
40%
|
48 | 58 | 10 | 0 |
| 05 Oct. 2008 |
GAL
3 - 1
PAG
61%
22%
17%
|
49 | 56 | 7 | -1 |
| 28 Sep. 2008 |
PAG
1 - 0
POT
54%
25%
21%
|
48 | 48 | 0 | +1 |
| 21 Sep. 2008 |
BEN
1 - 0
PAG
51%
27%
22%
|
49 | 56 | 7 | -1 |
Matches
Virtus Lanciano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Oct. 2008 |
VIR
3 - 0
REA
43%
28%
28%
|
49 | 47 | 2 | 0 |
| 12 Oct. 2008 |
PES
0 - 0
VIR
65%
22%
14%
|
49 | 56 | 7 | 0 |
| 05 Oct. 2008 |
VIR
1 - 3
ARZ
18%
25%
57%
|
50 | 64 | 14 | -1 |
| 28 Sep. 2008 |
VIR
0 - 0
CAV
29%
29%
42%
|
49 | 57 | 8 | +1 |
| 21 Sep. 2008 |
PIS
0 - 0
VIR
43%
29%
28%
|
49 | 50 | 1 | 0 |