Paganese vs Cavese 1919 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
15.3%
Win probability
0.95
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.6%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1%
2-0
2%
3-1
1.4%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
3.8%
1-0
4.2%
2-1
4.3%
3-2
1.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
10.3%
19.5%
Draw
0-0
4.4%
1-1
9.1%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
19.4%
65.2%
Win probability
2.17
Expected goals
0-1
9.6%
1-2
9.9%
2-3
3.4%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
23.5%
0-2
10.4%
1-3
7.1%
2-4
1.8%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
19.7%
0-3
7.5%
1-4
3.9%
2-5
0.8%
3-6
0.1%
-3
12.3%
0-4
4.1%
1-5
1.7%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0%
-4
6.1%
0-5
1.8%
1-6
0.6%
2-7
0.1%
-5
2.5%
0-6
0.6%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
0.9%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0.1%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Paganese
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Nov. 2023 |
PAG
0 - 1
MAR
46%
24%
30%
|
45 | 45 | 0 | 0 |
| 19 Nov. 2023 |
FBC
2 - 3
PAG
34%
27%
39%
|
45 | 42 | 3 | 0 |
| 12 Nov. 2023 |
PAG
0 - 1
VIR
31%
26%
43%
|
45 | 50 | 5 | 0 |
| 05 Nov. 2023 |
PAL
2 - 0
PAG
16%
22%
62%
|
46 | 31 | 15 | -1 |
| 01 Nov. 2023 |
PAG
2 - 2
FIA
36%
27%
38%
|
46 | 51 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Cavese 1919
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Nov. 2023 |
CAV
0 - 0
CSO
61%
23%
16%
|
55 | 41 | 14 | 0 |
| 19 Nov. 2023 |
BUD
1 - 2
CAV
6%
15%
80%
|
55 | 27 | 28 | 0 |
| 12 Nov. 2023 |
CAV
3 - 1
FLA
74%
17%
8%
|
54 | 38 | 16 | +1 |
| 05 Nov. 2023 |
0 - 0
CAV
10%
17%
73%
|
54 | 21 | 33 | 0 |
| 01 Nov. 2023 |
CAV
2 - 1
NOC
72%
19%
9%
|
54 | 41 | 13 | 0 |