Paganese vs Cavese 1919 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
22%
Win probability
1.09
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.4%
3-0
1.1%
4-1
0.6%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
1.8%
2-0
3.1%
3-1
2.1%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
0.1%
+2
5.8%
1-0
5.8%
2-1
5.8%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
13.8%
22.7%
Draw
0-0
5.3%
1-1
10.7%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
22.7%
55.3%
Win probability
1.85
Expected goals
0-1
9.8%
1-2
9.9%
2-3
3.3%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
23.6%
0-2
9.1%
1-3
6.1%
2-4
1.5%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
16.9%
0-3
5.6%
1-4
2.8%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
-3
9.1%
0-4
2.6%
1-5
1%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
3.8%
0-5
1%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1.3%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.4%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-29%
+7%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Paganese
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Nov. 2018 |
REG
1 - 0
PAG
61%
23%
16%
|
38 | 46 | 8 | 0 |
| 03 Nov. 2018 |
PAG
0 - 1
SIC
30%
26%
44%
|
40 | 48 | 8 | -2 |
| 27 Oct. 2018 |
BIS
2 - 2
PAG
62%
22%
17%
|
40 | 48 | 8 | 0 |
| 20 Oct. 2018 |
PAG
2 - 4
CAT
15%
24%
61%
|
40 | 62 | 22 | 0 |
| 16 Oct. 2018 |
MON
3 - 0
PAG
70%
19%
11%
|
41 | 52 | 11 | -1 |
Matches
Cavese 1919
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Nov. 2018 |
CAV
0 - 1
JUS
24%
26%
50%
|
48 | 58 | 10 | 0 |
| 03 Nov. 2018 |
SIR
3 - 1
CAV
44%
26%
31%
|
49 | 50 | 1 | -1 |
| 27 Oct. 2018 |
CAV
1 - 0
TRA
16%
24%
60%
|
49 | 63 | 14 | 0 |
| 16 Oct. 2018 |
CAV
3 - 1
MAT
31%
27%
41%
|
47 | 52 | 5 | +2 |
| 13 Oct. 2018 |
USV
2 - 0
CAV
34%
25%
41%
|
48 | 47 | 1 | -1 |