Paganese vs Cavese 1919 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
33.1%
Win probability
1.15
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.6%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.9%
3-0
2.2%
4-1
0.8%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.2%
2-0
5.8%
3-1
2.9%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
0.1%
+2
9.2%
1-0
10.1%
2-1
7.4%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
19.6%
27.3%
Draw
0-0
8.7%
1-1
12.9%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.3%
39.6%
Win probability
1.29
Expected goals
0-1
11.2%
1-2
8.3%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
21.9%
0-2
7.2%
1-3
3.6%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
11.5%
0-3
3.1%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4.4%
0-4
1%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.3%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Paganese
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Oct. 2008 |
GAL
3 - 1
PAG
61%
22%
17%
|
49 | 56 | 7 | 0 |
| 28 Sep. 2008 |
PAG
1 - 0
POT
54%
25%
21%
|
48 | 48 | 0 | +1 |
| 21 Sep. 2008 |
BEN
1 - 0
PAG
51%
27%
22%
|
49 | 56 | 7 | -1 |
| 14 Sep. 2008 |
PAG
1 - 0
PIS
46%
27%
27%
|
48 | 51 | 3 | +1 |
| 07 Sep. 2008 |
REA
1 - 0
PAG
43%
26%
31%
|
49 | 46 | 3 | -1 |
Matches
Cavese 1919
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Oct. 2008 |
BEN
1 - 3
CAV
38%
28%
34%
|
57 | 57 | 0 | 0 |
| 05 Oct. 2008 |
CAV
0 - 0
REA
59%
24%
17%
|
57 | 47 | 10 | 0 |
| 28 Sep. 2008 |
VIR
0 - 0
CAV
29%
29%
42%
|
57 | 49 | 8 | 0 |
| 21 Sep. 2008 |
CAV
3 - 2
CRO
39%
28%
33%
|
56 | 59 | 3 | +1 |
| 14 Sep. 2008 |
USF
1 - 0
CAV
52%
26%
22%
|
56 | 59 | 3 | 0 |