Paganese vs Siracusa analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
33.2%
Win probability
1.21
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.7%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.9%
3-0
2.3%
4-1
0.9%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.4%
2-0
5.6%
3-1
3.1%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
9.4%
1-0
9.2%
2-1
7.6%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
19.3%
26.4%
Draw
0-0
7.6%
1-1
12.6%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.4%
40.4%
Win probability
1.37
Expected goals
0-1
10.4%
1-2
8.6%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
21.7%
0-2
7.1%
1-3
3.9%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
11.9%
0-3
3.2%
1-4
1.3%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4.8%
0-4
1.1%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.5%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-22%
+21%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Paganese
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Dec. 2016 |
USV
0 - 0
PAG
30%
28%
42%
|
46 | 40 | 6 | 0 |
| 27 Nov. 2016 |
PAG
2 - 0
AKR
35%
27%
38%
|
44 | 47 | 3 | +2 |
| 20 Nov. 2016 |
FON
3 - 1
PAG
61%
21%
18%
|
45 | 47 | 2 | -1 |
| 13 Nov. 2016 |
PAG
1 - 1
USF
14%
22%
65%
|
45 | 62 | 17 | 0 |
| 06 Nov. 2016 |
PAG
2 - 0
TAR
41%
26%
33%
|
44 | 44 | 0 | +1 |
Matches
Siracusa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Dec. 2016 |
SIR
1 - 0
FCC
62%
21%
16%
|
48 | 43 | 5 | 0 |
| 27 Nov. 2016 |
SIR
1 - 0
NUO
40%
27%
34%
|
47 | 52 | 5 | +1 |
| 20 Nov. 2016 |
CAS
2 - 0
SIR
48%
25%
26%
|
48 | 50 | 2 | -1 |
| 13 Nov. 2016 |
SIR
4 - 2
AKR
46%
25%
29%
|
47 | 48 | 1 | +1 |
| 06 Nov. 2016 |
REG
0 - 2
SIR
36%
26%
38%
|
46 | 42 | 4 | +1 |