Paganese vs Reggina analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
55.4%
Win probability
1.7
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.5%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.4%
3-0
5.9%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.6%
2-0
10.4%
3-1
5.5%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17.1%
1-0
12.2%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.8%
24%
Draw
0-0
7.2%
1-1
11.4%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
24%
20.6%
Win probability
0.93
Expected goals
0-1
6.7%
1-2
5.3%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
13.6%
0-2
3.1%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
5.2%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.4%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-22%
-14%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Paganese
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Dec. 2016 |
LEC
3 - 1
PAG
72%
19%
10%
|
46 | 60 | 14 | 0 |
| 06 Dec. 2016 |
PAG
1 - 1
SIR
33%
26%
40%
|
46 | 49 | 3 | 0 |
| 03 Dec. 2016 |
USV
0 - 0
PAG
30%
28%
42%
|
46 | 40 | 6 | 0 |
| 27 Nov. 2016 |
PAG
2 - 0
AKR
35%
27%
38%
|
44 | 47 | 3 | +2 |
| 20 Nov. 2016 |
FON
3 - 1
PAG
61%
21%
18%
|
45 | 47 | 2 | -1 |
Matches
Reggina
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Dec. 2016 |
REG
0 - 0
FIA
21%
25%
54%
|
38 | 53 | 15 | 0 |
| 06 Dec. 2016 |
FRA
1 - 0
REG
63%
21%
16%
|
39 | 47 | 8 | -1 |
| 03 Dec. 2016 |
REG
1 - 1
USF
12%
20%
67%
|
38 | 61 | 23 | +1 |
| 27 Nov. 2016 |
FCC
1 - 1
REG
51%
25%
24%
|
38 | 44 | 6 | 0 |
| 20 Nov. 2016 |
REG
2 - 2
TAR
40%
26%
34%
|
38 | 42 | 4 | 0 |