Paganese vs Pistoiese analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
46.2%
Win probability
1.39
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.4%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.9%
3-0
4.2%
4-1
1.4%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.8%
2-0
9%
3-1
4.1%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
13.8%
1-0
12.9%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
24%
27.1%
Draw
0-0
9.2%
1-1
12.7%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.1%
26.7%
Win probability
0.99
Expected goals
0-1
9.1%
1-2
6.3%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
17.1%
0-2
4.5%
1-3
2.1%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
7%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.1%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-18%
-51%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Paganese
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Sep. 2008 |
REA
1 - 0
PAG
43%
26%
31%
|
49 | 46 | 3 | 0 |
| 31 Aug. 2008 |
PAG
1 - 2
FOL
35%
27%
37%
|
49 | 58 | 9 | 0 |
| 04 May. 2008 |
PAG
2 - 1
CTT
31%
28%
41%
|
48 | 60 | 12 | +1 |
| 27 Apr. 2008 |
CAV
1 - 2
PAG
63%
22%
14%
|
47 | 58 | 11 | +1 |
| 20 Apr. 2008 |
PAG
1 - 1
VER
41%
28%
31%
|
47 | 52 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Pistoiese
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Sep. 2008 |
PIS
1 - 0
CRO
25%
28%
48%
|
50 | 59 | 9 | 0 |
| 31 Aug. 2008 |
GAL
1 - 0
PIS
54%
26%
21%
|
51 | 53 | 2 | -1 |
| 04 May. 2008 |
ASL
0 - 1
PIS
58%
25%
17%
|
49 | 56 | 7 | +2 |
| 27 Apr. 2008 |
PIS
1 - 3
JUS
45%
30%
26%
|
50 | 48 | 2 | -1 |
| 20 Apr. 2008 |
ANC
1 - 1
PIS
57%
25%
18%
|
50 | 56 | 6 | 0 |