Paganese vs Perugia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
26.3%
Win probability
0.88
Expected goals
5-0
0.1%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.4%
3-0
1.4%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
<0%
+3
1.8%
2-0
4.7%
3-1
1.7%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
6.6%
1-0
10.6%
2-1
5.8%
3-2
1%
4-3
0.1%
+1
17.5%
29.2%
Draw
0-0
12.1%
1-1
13.1%
2-2
3.6%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
29.2%
44.5%
Win probability
1.23
Expected goals
0-1
14.9%
1-2
8.1%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.1%
-1
24.6%
0-2
9.2%
1-3
3.3%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0%
-2
13%
0-3
3.8%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.1%
-3
4.9%
0-4
1.2%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.4%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-33%
-20%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Paganese
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 May. 2013 |
LAT
4 - 0
PAG
60%
25%
16%
|
49 | 58 | 9 | 0 |
| 28 Apr. 2013 |
PAG
1 - 1
FRO
26%
28%
47%
|
49 | 57 | 8 | 0 |
| 14 Apr. 2013 |
ASA
0 - 1
PAG
52%
28%
20%
|
48 | 54 | 6 | +1 |
| 07 Apr. 2013 |
PAG
1 - 0
SSB
38%
29%
33%
|
48 | 49 | 1 | 0 |
| 28 Mar. 2013 |
PAG
1 - 1
LAT
23%
27%
50%
|
48 | 59 | 11 | 0 |
Matches
Perugia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 May. 2013 |
PRG
3 - 0
ACP
65%
21%
14%
|
57 | 48 | 9 | 0 |
| 28 Apr. 2013 |
FCV
1 - 0
PRG
37%
28%
36%
|
58 | 50 | 8 | -1 |
| 14 Apr. 2013 |
PRG
2 - 1
SOR
56%
24%
20%
|
58 | 54 | 4 | 0 |
| 07 Apr. 2013 |
FRO
0 - 1
PRG
54%
25%
21%
|
58 | 58 | 0 | 0 |
| 24 Mar. 2013 |
FCC
2 - 4
PRG
34%
28%
38%
|
56 | 48 | 8 | +2 |