Paganese vs Pergocrema analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
37.8%
Win probability
1.15
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
1%
3-0
2.8%
4-1
0.8%
5-2
0.1%
+3
3.7%
2-0
7.3%
3-1
2.9%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
10.7%
1-0
12.7%
2-1
7.7%
3-2
1.5%
4-3
0.2%
+1
22.1%
29.1%
Draw
0-0
11.1%
1-1
13.4%
2-2
4%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
29.1%
33.1%
Win probability
1.05
Expected goals
0-1
11.7%
1-2
7%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.1%
-1
20.3%
0-2
6.1%
1-3
2.5%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
9%
0-3
2.2%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.9%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Paganese
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Nov. 2009 |
USA
1 - 0
PAG
51%
26%
23%
|
49 | 50 | 1 | 0 |
| 15 Nov. 2009 |
PAG
1 - 3
COM
66%
22%
13%
|
50 | 38 | 12 | -1 |
| 08 Nov. 2009 |
ASS
0 - 2
PAG
57%
25%
18%
|
49 | 55 | 6 | +1 |
| 01 Nov. 2009 |
BEN
3 - 0
PAG
66%
22%
12%
|
49 | 60 | 11 | 0 |
| 25 Oct. 2009 |
PAG
2 - 2
ACL
28%
28%
44%
|
49 | 57 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
Pergocrema
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Nov. 2009 |
VAR
2 - 2
PER
48%
25%
26%
|
52 | 52 | 0 | 0 |
| 22 Nov. 2009 |
PER
2 - 1
ASS
36%
28%
36%
|
52 | 53 | 1 | 0 |
| 15 Nov. 2009 |
LEC
2 - 1
PER
46%
28%
26%
|
52 | 53 | 1 | 0 |
| 11 Nov. 2009 |
PER
0 - 2
RIM
24%
26%
51%
|
53 | 64 | 11 | -1 |
| 08 Nov. 2009 |
PER
0 - 1
USC
28%
29%
43%
|
54 | 61 | 7 | -1 |