Paganese vs Novara analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
37.7%
Win probability
1.28
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.2%
3-0
2.8%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.2%
2-0
6.7%
3-1
3.5%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
10.9%
1-0
10.4%
2-1
8.2%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
21%
26.9%
Draw
0-0
8.1%
1-1
12.8%
2-2
5%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.9%
35.4%
Win probability
1.23
Expected goals
0-1
10%
1-2
7.9%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
20.2%
0-2
6.1%
1-3
3.2%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
10.1%
0-3
2.5%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.7%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
1.1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-21%
+14%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Paganese
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Mar. 2008 |
FOL
0 - 0
PAG
61%
24%
16%
|
47 | 58 | 11 | 0 |
| 24 Feb. 2008 |
PAG
0 - 1
USF
31%
28%
42%
|
48 | 60 | 12 | -1 |
| 17 Feb. 2008 |
PAD
2 - 0
PAG
68%
20%
12%
|
48 | 60 | 12 | 0 |
| 10 Feb. 2008 |
PAG
1 - 1
USC
27%
26%
47%
|
48 | 61 | 13 | 0 |
| 03 Feb. 2008 |
PRO
3 - 0
PAG
51%
26%
24%
|
49 | 50 | 1 | -1 |
Matches
Novara
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Mar. 2008 |
NOV
1 - 1
ASS
40%
29%
32%
|
52 | 59 | 7 | 0 |
| 24 Feb. 2008 |
UNI
3 - 1
NOV
49%
27%
24%
|
53 | 57 | 4 | -1 |
| 17 Feb. 2008 |
NOV
2 - 1
SSM
59%
23%
18%
|
53 | 49 | 4 | 0 |
| 10 Feb. 2008 |
LEC
2 - 3
NOV
39%
29%
32%
|
52 | 50 | 2 | +1 |
| 03 Feb. 2008 |
NOV
2 - 2
CTT
29%
28%
43%
|
52 | 64 | 12 | 0 |