Paganese vs ACR Messina analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
36.9%
Win probability
1.29
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.2%
3-0
2.7%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.1%
2-0
6.4%
3-1
3.5%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
10.7%
1-0
9.9%
2-1
8.1%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.6%
26.6%
Draw
0-0
7.7%
1-1
12.6%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.6%
36.5%
Win probability
1.28
Expected goals
0-1
9.8%
1-2
8.1%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
20.5%
0-2
6.3%
1-3
3.5%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
10.5%
0-3
2.7%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.2%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-26%
-17%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Paganese
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Aug. 2021 |
USF
2 - 0
PAG
71%
18%
10%
|
43 | 57 | 14 | 0 |
| 22 May. 2021 |
PAG
3 - 2
BIS
48%
26%
26%
|
43 | 42 | 1 | 0 |
| 15 May. 2021 |
BIS
2 - 1
PAG
33%
28%
40%
|
43 | 41 | 2 | 0 |
| 02 May. 2021 |
CAS
1 - 1
PAG
61%
22%
18%
|
43 | 49 | 6 | 0 |
| 25 Apr. 2021 |
PAG
0 - 0
RPO
30%
26%
44%
|
43 | 49 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
ACR Messina
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Aug. 2021 |
JUS
2 - 3
MES
73%
17%
10%
|
46 | 57 | 11 | 0 |
| 03 Jul. 2021 |
CSA
1 - 3
MES
21%
25%
54%
|
45 | 32 | 13 | +1 |
| 30 Jun. 2021 |
MES
3 - 0
MDR
77%
16%
7%
|
45 | 29 | 16 | 0 |
| 13 Jun. 2021 |
LIC
1 - 1
MES
24%
26%
51%
|
45 | 32 | 13 | 0 |
| 23 May. 2021 |
ASD
0 - 4
MES
21%
27%
52%
|
44 | 33 | 11 | +1 |