Paganese vs ACR Messina analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
45.9%
Win probability
1.42
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.5%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.9%
3-0
4.1%
4-1
1.5%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.8%
2-0
8.7%
3-1
4.2%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
13.8%
1-0
12.3%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.7%
26.7%
Draw
0-0
8.7%
1-1
12.6%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.7%
27.3%
Win probability
1.03
Expected goals
0-1
8.9%
1-2
6.5%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
17.2%
0-2
4.6%
1-3
2.2%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
7.2%
0-3
1.6%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.2%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-33%
+6%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Paganese
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Feb. 2017 |
MON
0 - 2
PAG
56%
24%
21%
|
44 | 46 | 2 | 0 |
| 04 Feb. 2017 |
PAG
1 - 2
FCC
44%
27%
29%
|
45 | 45 | 0 | -1 |
| 28 Jan. 2017 |
PAG
1 - 1
FIA
29%
28%
44%
|
44 | 54 | 10 | +1 |
| 21 Jan. 2017 |
CAS
2 - 0
PAG
60%
23%
17%
|
45 | 50 | 5 | -1 |
| 29 Dec. 2016 |
PAG
1 - 1
MAT
18%
25%
58%
|
45 | 60 | 15 | 0 |
Matches
ACR Messina
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Feb. 2017 |
MES
2 - 1
FCC
46%
26%
28%
|
44 | 45 | 1 | 0 |
| 04 Feb. 2017 |
USF
3 - 0
MES
79%
15%
7%
|
44 | 62 | 18 | 0 |
| 28 Jan. 2017 |
MES
1 - 0
JUS
24%
26%
51%
|
43 | 55 | 12 | +1 |
| 21 Jan. 2017 |
FRA
3 - 1
MES
62%
22%
16%
|
44 | 49 | 5 | -1 |
| 29 Dec. 2016 |
MES
2 - 0
REG
55%
23%
22%
|
43 | 41 | 2 | +1 |