Paganese vs Martina Franca analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
50.5%
Win probability
1.43
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.8%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
<0%
+4
2.2%
3-0
4.9%
4-1
1.5%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.7%
2-0
10.4%
3-1
4.2%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
15.3%
1-0
14.5%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.4%
27%
Draw
0-0
10.2%
1-1
12.4%
2-2
3.8%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
27%
22.5%
Win probability
0.86
Expected goals
0-1
8.7%
1-2
5.3%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
15.2%
0-2
3.7%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
5.5%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1.4%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-26%
+19%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Paganese
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Jan. 2016 |
USF
2 - 2
PAG
75%
17%
8%
|
40 | 58 | 18 | 0 |
| 11 Jan. 2016 |
PAG
2 - 2
CAS
19%
28%
54%
|
40 | 54 | 14 | 0 |
| 19 Dec. 2015 |
CAT
3 - 0
PAG
85%
11%
4%
|
40 | 67 | 27 | 0 |
| 13 Dec. 2015 |
PAG
1 - 1
LEC
10%
21%
69%
|
39 | 63 | 24 | +1 |
| 05 Dec. 2015 |
MAT
2 - 1
PAG
68%
21%
12%
|
40 | 51 | 11 | -1 |
Matches
Martina Franca
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Jan. 2016 |
MES
3 - 0
MAR
59%
24%
17%
|
40 | 44 | 4 | 0 |
| 19 Dec. 2015 |
MAR
0 - 2
USF
14%
23%
63%
|
41 | 58 | 17 | -1 |
| 13 Dec. 2015 |
BEN
2 - 1
MAR
73%
19%
8%
|
41 | 58 | 17 | 0 |
| 06 Dec. 2015 |
MAR
3 - 0
LCR
46%
25%
29%
|
39 | 39 | 0 | +2 |
| 29 Nov. 2015 |
FIA
2 - 0
MAR
76%
16%
8%
|
41 | 52 | 11 | -2 |