Paganese vs Martina Franca analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
49.6%
Win probability
1.39
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.7%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
<0%
+4
2.1%
3-0
4.8%
4-1
1.4%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.3%
2-0
10.3%
3-1
4.1%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
<0%
+2
15%
1-0
14.8%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.4%
27.4%
Draw
0-0
10.6%
1-1
12.6%
2-2
3.7%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
27.4%
23%
Win probability
0.85
Expected goals
0-1
9%
1-2
5.4%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
15.6%
0-2
3.9%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
5.6%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1.5%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-41%
+69%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Paganese
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Apr. 2015 |
FCC
1 - 1
PAG
69%
21%
10%
|
41 | 57 | 16 | 0 |
| 18 Apr. 2015 |
PAG
0 - 1
RAA
55%
25%
20%
|
41 | 36 | 5 | 0 |
| 12 Apr. 2015 |
VIG
1 - 1
PAG
42%
28%
30%
|
41 | 41 | 0 | 0 |
| 01 Apr. 2015 |
PAG
0 - 1
SAL
16%
26%
58%
|
42 | 62 | 20 | -1 |
| 27 Mar. 2015 |
BEN
2 - 0
PAG
75%
17%
7%
|
42 | 63 | 21 | 0 |
Matches
Martina Franca
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Apr. 2015 |
MAR
0 - 1
LEC
9%
21%
70%
|
40 | 65 | 25 | 0 |
| 22 Apr. 2015 |
MAR
1 - 3
CAS
33%
27%
40%
|
42 | 48 | 6 | -2 |
| 18 Apr. 2015 |
NUO
0 - 0
MAR
65%
23%
13%
|
41 | 50 | 9 | +1 |
| 11 Apr. 2015 |
MAR
0 - 1
MAT
30%
27%
43%
|
42 | 50 | 8 | -1 |
| 02 Apr. 2015 |
MES
0 - 0
MAR
45%
27%
29%
|
42 | 36 | 6 | 0 |