Paganese vs Lupa Cast Rom analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
61.5%
Win probability
1.86
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.6%
4-0
3.4%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.5%
3-0
7.2%
4-1
2.8%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
10.5%
2-0
11.6%
3-1
6.1%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
19%
1-0
12.5%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.2%
22.1%
Draw
0-0
6.7%
1-1
10.5%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.1%
16.4%
Win probability
0.84
Expected goals
0-1
5.6%
1-2
4.4%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
11.4%
0-2
2.4%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.9%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Paganese
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Feb. 2016 |
MES
2 - 2
PAG
50%
25%
25%
|
44 | 44 | 0 | 0 |
| 07 Feb. 2016 |
PAG
4 - 3
JUS
24%
26%
50%
|
43 | 51 | 8 | +1 |
| 30 Jan. 2016 |
FIA
0 - 1
PAG
69%
20%
12%
|
42 | 53 | 11 | +1 |
| 24 Jan. 2016 |
PAG
3 - 1
MAR
51%
27%
23%
|
41 | 39 | 2 | +1 |
| 16 Jan. 2016 |
USF
2 - 2
PAG
75%
17%
8%
|
40 | 58 | 18 | +1 |
Matches
Lupa Cast Rom
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Feb. 2016 |
LCR
0 - 3
FIA
20%
23%
56%
|
37 | 51 | 14 | 0 |
| 06 Feb. 2016 |
MON
2 - 0
LCR
55%
24%
22%
|
38 | 42 | 4 | -1 |
| 30 Jan. 2016 |
LCR
0 - 0
ASM
35%
27%
38%
|
37 | 46 | 9 | +1 |
| 24 Jan. 2016 |
BEN
1 - 0
LCR
70%
19%
10%
|
37 | 58 | 21 | 0 |
| 16 Jan. 2016 |
LCR
2 - 2
ISC
37%
25%
39%
|
37 | 42 | 5 | 0 |