Paganese vs Lecce analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
22.1%
Win probability
0.89
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.3%
3-0
1.1%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
<0%
+3
1.5%
2-0
3.6%
3-1
1.6%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
5.5%
1-0
8.1%
2-1
5.4%
3-2
1.2%
4-3
0.1%
+1
14.8%
26.1%
Draw
0-0
9.1%
1-1
12.2%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.1%
51.8%
Win probability
1.51
Expected goals
0-1
13.8%
1-2
9.2%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
25.2%
0-2
10.4%
1-3
4.6%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
15.8%
0-3
5.2%
1-4
1.7%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
7.2%
0-4
2%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.5%
0-5
0.6%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.7%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-21%
-2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Paganese
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Apr. 2017 |
SIR
2 - 0
PAG
53%
25%
22%
|
52 | 54 | 2 | 0 |
| 19 Apr. 2017 |
TAR
0 - 4
PAG
26%
28%
47%
|
51 | 43 | 8 | +1 |
| 15 Apr. 2017 |
PAG
1 - 1
USV
66%
22%
13%
|
51 | 42 | 9 | 0 |
| 09 Apr. 2017 |
AKR
1 - 2
PAG
43%
26%
32%
|
51 | 47 | 4 | 0 |
| 05 Apr. 2017 |
PAG
2 - 0
FON
47%
26%
27%
|
49 | 48 | 1 | +2 |
Matches
Lecce
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Apr. 2017 |
LEC
0 - 1
MES
75%
17%
8%
|
61 | 46 | 15 | 0 |
| 15 Apr. 2017 |
MAT
1 - 1
LEC
37%
27%
36%
|
61 | 58 | 3 | 0 |
| 09 Apr. 2017 |
LEC
3 - 0
TAR
75%
16%
8%
|
61 | 44 | 17 | 0 |
| 05 Apr. 2017 |
LEC
3 - 2
JUS
58%
23%
19%
|
59 | 54 | 5 | +2 |
| 02 Apr. 2017 |
NUO
0 - 0
LEC
25%
25%
50%
|
60 | 50 | 10 | -1 |