Paganese vs Follonica Gavorrano analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
55.3%
Win probability
1.67
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2.5%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.3%
3-0
5.9%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.5%
2-0
10.6%
3-1
5.3%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17%
1-0
12.7%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.1%
24.3%
Draw
0-0
7.6%
1-1
11.5%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.3%
20.4%
Win probability
0.91
Expected goals
0-1
6.9%
1-2
5.2%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
13.6%
0-2
3.1%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
5.1%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.4%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-52%
-2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Paganese
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Mar. 2012 |
GIU
0 - 1
PAG
26%
28%
47%
|
35 | 24 | 11 | 0 |
| 26 Feb. 2012 |
PAG
1 - 1
LAQ
54%
25%
21%
|
35 | 31 | 4 | 0 |
| 19 Feb. 2012 |
APR
3 - 0
PAG
32%
26%
42%
|
37 | 24 | 13 | -2 |
| 15 Feb. 2012 |
PAG
0 - 2
VIG
56%
25%
19%
|
38 | 32 | 6 | -1 |
| 12 Feb. 2012 |
PAG
1 - 0
FON
71%
19%
10%
|
38 | 21 | 17 | 0 |
Matches
Follonica Gavorrano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Mar. 2012 |
GAV
2 - 2
VIG
35%
27%
39%
|
27 | 34 | 7 | 0 |
| 26 Feb. 2012 |
CHI
2 - 0
GAV
41%
26%
33%
|
28 | 30 | 2 | -1 |
| 19 Feb. 2012 |
GAV
3 - 2
USV
65%
21%
14%
|
28 | 21 | 7 | 0 |
| 15 Feb. 2012 |
MIL
2 - 1
GAV
38%
25%
38%
|
29 | 26 | 3 | -1 |
| 12 Feb. 2012 |
GAV
3 - 1
ACI
69%
20%
12%
|
28 | 20 | 8 | +1 |