Paganese vs Foligno Calcio analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
35.4%
Win probability
1.2
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
1%
3-0
2.5%
4-1
0.9%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.6%
2-0
6.3%
3-1
3.1%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
10.1%
1-0
10.5%
2-1
7.8%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.5%
27.4%
Draw
0-0
8.8%
1-1
13%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.4%
37.2%
Win probability
1.24
Expected goals
0-1
10.8%
1-2
8%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
21.1%
0-2
6.7%
1-3
3.3%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
10.7%
0-3
2.8%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.9%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Paganese
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 May. 2008 |
PAG
2 - 1
CTT
31%
28%
41%
|
49 | 62 | 13 | 0 |
| 27 Apr. 2008 |
CAV
1 - 2
PAG
63%
22%
14%
|
48 | 59 | 11 | +1 |
| 20 Apr. 2008 |
PAG
1 - 1
VER
41%
28%
31%
|
48 | 53 | 5 | 0 |
| 13 Apr. 2008 |
PRO
1 - 1
PAG
57%
24%
19%
|
48 | 52 | 4 | 0 |
| 06 Apr. 2008 |
PAG
3 - 1
VNZ
34%
29%
38%
|
46 | 57 | 11 | +2 |
Matches
Foligno Calcio
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Aug. 2008 |
BRE
2 - 1
FOL
70%
19%
11%
|
59 | 74 | 15 | 0 |
| 09 Aug. 2008 |
FOL
3 - 2
PER
45%
27%
28%
|
58 | 57 | 1 | +1 |
| 04 May. 2008 |
FOL
1 - 1
PRO
51%
27%
22%
|
58 | 52 | 6 | 0 |
| 27 Apr. 2008 |
VNZ
0 - 2
FOL
45%
27%
28%
|
57 | 56 | 1 | +1 |
| 20 Apr. 2008 |
FOL
1 - 0
USC
35%
28%
37%
|
57 | 60 | 3 | 0 |