Paganese vs Foligno Calcio analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
34.6%
Win probability
1.21
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.7%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
1%
3-0
2.4%
4-1
0.9%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.5%
2-0
6%
3-1
3.1%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
9.8%
1-0
9.9%
2-1
7.8%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
20%
26.9%
Draw
0-0
8.2%
1-1
12.8%
2-2
5%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.9%
38.5%
Win probability
1.29
Expected goals
0-1
10.6%
1-2
8.3%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
21.3%
0-2
6.8%
1-3
3.6%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
11.2%
0-3
2.9%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4.3%
0-4
1%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.3%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Paganese
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Oct. 2007 |
USF
1 - 0
PAG
64%
22%
14%
|
44 | 54 | 10 | 0 |
| 07 Oct. 2007 |
PAG
1 - 2
PAD
35%
28%
38%
|
44 | 57 | 13 | 0 |
| 30 Sep. 2007 |
USC
2 - 1
PAG
62%
22%
16%
|
45 | 54 | 9 | -1 |
| 23 Sep. 2007 |
PAG
1 - 3
PRO
44%
26%
30%
|
46 | 50 | 4 | -1 |
| 16 Sep. 2007 |
ASS
2 - 1
PAG
59%
24%
17%
|
46 | 56 | 10 | 0 |
Matches
Foligno Calcio
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Oct. 2007 |
FOL
2 - 0
ASS
36%
28%
36%
|
54 | 57 | 3 | 0 |
| 07 Oct. 2007 |
FOL
1 - 0
CAV
37%
29%
34%
|
53 | 58 | 5 | +1 |
| 30 Sep. 2007 |
PRO
1 - 1
FOL
40%
28%
32%
|
53 | 51 | 2 | 0 |
| 23 Sep. 2007 |
FOL
1 - 1
PAD
39%
29%
32%
|
53 | 57 | 4 | 0 |
| 16 Sep. 2007 |
UNI
0 - 1
FOL
51%
26%
23%
|
53 | 56 | 3 | 0 |