Paganese vs FC Celano Marsica analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
73.1%
Win probability
1.99
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.8%
5-0
2.2%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
2.5%
4-0
5.5%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.1%
+4
6.6%
3-0
11%
4-1
2.7%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
13.9%
2-0
16.5%
3-1
5.4%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
<0%
+2
22.6%
1-0
16.6%
2-1
8.1%
3-2
1.3%
4-3
0.1%
+1
26.2%
18.8%
Draw
0-0
8.4%
1-1
8.2%
2-2
2%
3-3
0.2%
4-4
<0%
0
18.8%
8.1%
Win probability
0.49
Expected goals
0-1
4.1%
1-2
2%
2-3
0.3%
3-4
0%
-1
6.5%
0-2
1%
1-3
0.3%
2-4
0%
-2
1.4%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Paganese
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 May. 2011 |
PAG
1 - 0
FCS
50%
26%
24%
|
49 | 44 | 5 | 0 |
| 08 May. 2011 |
ASG
3 - 1
PAG
57%
26%
18%
|
49 | 56 | 7 | 0 |
| 01 May. 2011 |
PAG
0 - 1
SPE
38%
29%
33%
|
50 | 51 | 1 | -1 |
| 23 Apr. 2011 |
COM
0 - 0
PAG
58%
25%
17%
|
50 | 55 | 5 | 0 |
| 17 Apr. 2011 |
PAG
1 - 0
USC
26%
27%
47%
|
49 | 58 | 9 | +1 |
Matches
FC Celano Marsica
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 May. 2011 |
CRO
3 - 3
FCC
58%
22%
20%
|
19 | 22 | 3 | 0 |
| 01 May. 2011 |
FCC
1 - 2
VIN
43%
27%
30%
|
20 | 23 | 3 | -1 |
| 23 Apr. 2011 |
ACP
1 - 0
FCC
70%
20%
11%
|
20 | 30 | 10 | 0 |
| 17 Apr. 2011 |
FCC
0 - 2
LAQ
32%
25%
43%
|
21 | 30 | 9 | -1 |
| 10 Apr. 2011 |
SAN
1 - 0
FCC
71%
18%
11%
|
21 | 32 | 11 | 0 |