Paganese vs Como analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
65.6%
Win probability
1.81
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.4%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.7%
4-0
3.9%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4.9%
3-0
8.6%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
11.3%
2-0
14.2%
3-1
5.5%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
20.5%
1-0
15.6%
2-1
9%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.2%
+1
26.6%
21.9%
Draw
0-0
8.6%
1-1
10%
2-2
2.9%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
21.9%
12.5%
Win probability
0.64
Expected goals
0-1
5.5%
1-2
3.2%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0.1%
-1
9.4%
0-2
1.8%
1-3
0.7%
2-4
0.1%
-2
2.5%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-19%
+20%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Paganese
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Nov. 2009 |
ASS
0 - 2
PAG
57%
25%
18%
|
49 | 55 | 6 | 0 |
| 01 Nov. 2009 |
BEN
3 - 0
PAG
66%
22%
12%
|
49 | 60 | 11 | 0 |
| 25 Oct. 2009 |
PAG
2 - 2
ACL
28%
28%
44%
|
49 | 57 | 8 | 0 |
| 18 Oct. 2009 |
ARZ
2 - 0
PAG
68%
21%
11%
|
50 | 63 | 13 | -1 |
| 11 Oct. 2009 |
PAG
0 - 0
FCV
64%
22%
14%
|
50 | 40 | 10 | 0 |
Matches
Como
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Nov. 2009 |
COM
0 - 2
BEN
18%
26%
57%
|
38 | 61 | 23 | 0 |
| 01 Nov. 2009 |
FOL
3 - 0
COM
68%
21%
11%
|
39 | 55 | 16 | -1 |
| 25 Oct. 2009 |
COM
0 - 0
ARZ
16%
24%
60%
|
38 | 63 | 25 | +1 |
| 21 Oct. 2009 |
VER
6 - 0
COM
71%
19%
10%
|
39 | 61 | 22 | -1 |
| 18 Oct. 2009 |
PRO
1 - 0
COM
73%
19%
9%
|
39 | 57 | 18 | 0 |