Paganese vs Chieti analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
70%
Win probability
1.95
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.9%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
2.2%
4-0
4.8%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.1%
+4
6%
3-0
9.8%
4-1
2.8%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
12.9%
2-0
15.1%
3-1
5.7%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
21.7%
1-0
15.5%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.2%
+1
26.1%
19.9%
Draw
0-0
8%
1-1
9%
2-2
2.6%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
19.9%
10.1%
Win probability
0.58
Expected goals
0-1
4.6%
1-2
2.6%
2-3
0.5%
3-4
0%
-1
7.8%
0-2
1.3%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.9%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-55%
-2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Paganese
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Oct. 2011 |
EBO
0 - 0
PAG
37%
28%
36%
|
43 | 35 | 8 | 0 |
| 26 Oct. 2011 |
PAG
1 - 1
NEA
69%
20%
12%
|
43 | 26 | 17 | 0 |
| 23 Oct. 2011 |
GAV
1 - 1
PAG
20%
26%
54%
|
44 | 26 | 18 | -1 |
| 16 Oct. 2011 |
PAG
2 - 1
GIU
73%
19%
8%
|
44 | 25 | 19 | 0 |
| 12 Oct. 2011 |
LAQ
0 - 0
PAG
26%
28%
46%
|
44 | 30 | 14 | 0 |
Matches
Chieti
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Oct. 2011 |
CHI
1 - 1
APR
57%
23%
20%
|
28 | 21 | 7 | 0 |
| 26 Oct. 2011 |
VIG
1 - 0
CHI
43%
27%
30%
|
28 | 27 | 1 | 0 |
| 23 Oct. 2011 |
CHI
3 - 1
ACI
55%
25%
20%
|
28 | 24 | 4 | 0 |
| 16 Oct. 2011 |
CHI
2 - 1
ASM
53%
26%
22%
|
27 | 24 | 3 | +1 |
| 12 Oct. 2011 |
GAV
2 - 1
CHI
44%
26%
30%
|
28 | 25 | 3 | -1 |