Paganese vs Catania analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
18.6%
Win probability
0.75
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.7%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
1%
2-0
3%
3-1
1.1%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
4.2%
1-0
7.9%
2-1
4.4%
3-2
0.8%
4-3
0.1%
+1
13.2%
26.1%
Draw
0-0
10.5%
1-1
11.8%
2-2
3.3%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
26.1%
55.2%
Win probability
1.5
Expected goals
0-1
15.8%
1-2
8.9%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.2%
-1
26.5%
0-2
11.9%
1-3
4.5%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0%
-2
17%
0-3
6%
1-4
1.7%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
7.8%
0-4
2.2%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0%
-4
2.8%
0-5
0.7%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.8%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-33%
-13%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Paganese
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Apr. 2016 |
LEC
1 - 0
PAG
74%
19%
8%
|
46 | 62 | 16 | 0 |
| 16 Apr. 2016 |
PAG
4 - 0
MAT
21%
27%
53%
|
44 | 56 | 12 | +2 |
| 09 Apr. 2016 |
FCC
1 - 0
PAG
50%
27%
23%
|
45 | 47 | 2 | -1 |
| 03 Apr. 2016 |
PAG
0 - 0
ASM
51%
26%
23%
|
45 | 43 | 2 | 0 |
| 23 Mar. 2016 |
ISC
0 - 2
PAG
36%
28%
36%
|
44 | 40 | 4 | +1 |
Matches
Catania
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Apr. 2016 |
CAT
1 - 0
ASM
77%
16%
7%
|
61 | 45 | 16 | 0 |
| 17 Apr. 2016 |
BEN
1 - 0
CAT
40%
28%
33%
|
62 | 60 | 2 | -1 |
| 10 Apr. 2016 |
CAT
1 - 0
LCR
84%
11%
5%
|
62 | 32 | 30 | 0 |
| 04 Apr. 2016 |
USF
3 - 0
CAT
42%
27%
32%
|
63 | 59 | 4 | -1 |
| 24 Mar. 2016 |
CAT
2 - 1
MES
80%
15%
5%
|
63 | 45 | 18 | 0 |