Paganese vs Casertana analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
27.6%
Win probability
1.05
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.6%
3-0
1.6%
4-1
0.6%
5-2
0.1%
+3
2.3%
2-0
4.6%
3-1
2.3%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
7.4%
1-0
8.8%
2-1
6.6%
3-2
1.6%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
17.3%
26.6%
Draw
0-0
8.4%
1-1
12.6%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.5%
45.8%
Win probability
1.43
Expected goals
0-1
12%
1-2
9%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
23.5%
0-2
8.6%
1-3
4.3%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
13.7%
0-3
4.1%
1-4
1.5%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
5.9%
0-4
1.5%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-21%
-12%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Paganese
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Sep. 2016 |
MAT
2 - 1
PAG
63%
23%
14%
|
46 | 55 | 9 | 0 |
| 21 Aug. 2016 |
REG
0 - 1
PAG
42%
28%
30%
|
46 | 42 | 4 | 0 |
| 17 Aug. 2016 |
PAG
0 - 2
USV
60%
25%
16%
|
47 | 38 | 9 | -1 |
| 07 May. 2016 |
CAS
4 - 2
PAG
62%
23%
15%
|
47 | 55 | 8 | 0 |
| 30 Apr. 2016 |
PAG
0 - 0
CAT
19%
26%
55%
|
47 | 63 | 16 | 0 |
Matches
Casertana
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Sep. 2016 |
CAS
0 - 1
MON
59%
23%
18%
|
53 | 48 | 5 | 0 |
| 28 Aug. 2016 |
ASM
1 - 0
CAS
28%
27%
45%
|
53 | 46 | 7 | 0 |
| 07 Aug. 2016 |
VIC
4 - 2
CAS
62%
22%
15%
|
54 | 65 | 11 | -1 |
| 31 Jul. 2016 |
CAS
3 - 2
TUT
60%
23%
18%
|
54 | 47 | 7 | 0 |
| 28 Jul. 2016 |
AVE
3 - 1
CAS
64%
22%
14%
|
54 | 64 | 10 | 0 |