Paganese vs Bisceglie analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
59.3%
Win probability
1.79
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.4%
4-0
3%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4.1%
3-0
6.7%
4-1
2.6%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.8%
2-0
11.3%
3-1
5.8%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
18.3%
1-0
12.6%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.2%
22.9%
Draw
0-0
7.1%
1-1
10.9%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.9%
17.8%
Win probability
0.86
Expected goals
0-1
6.1%
1-2
4.7%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
12.2%
0-2
2.6%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.3%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1.1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Paganese
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Nov. 2020 |
PAL
2 - 1
PAG
83%
13%
4%
|
43 | 68 | 25 | 0 |
| 11 Nov. 2020 |
PAG
1 - 1
AVE
26%
25%
49%
|
43 | 51 | 8 | 0 |
| 08 Nov. 2020 |
VIT
0 - 1
PAG
50%
24%
26%
|
42 | 44 | 2 | +1 |
| 31 Oct. 2020 |
PAG
1 - 2
TER
28%
27%
45%
|
43 | 52 | 9 | -1 |
| 25 Oct. 2020 |
TUR
0 - 3
PAG
62%
21%
18%
|
41 | 47 | 6 | +2 |
Matches
Bisceglie
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Nov. 2020 |
JUS
1 - 0
BIS
80%
14%
6%
|
38 | 55 | 17 | 0 |
| 28 Oct. 2020 |
BIS
0 - 1
CAV
32%
25%
43%
|
39 | 41 | 2 | -1 |
| 21 Oct. 2020 |
VIT
1 - 1
BIS
60%
22%
18%
|
39 | 44 | 5 | 0 |
| 18 Oct. 2020 |
BIS
2 - 1
PAL
6%
20%
74%
|
37 | 68 | 31 | +2 |
| 14 Oct. 2020 |
USF
1 - 3
BIS
83%
13%
5%
|
35 | 64 | 29 | +2 |