Serie C Playoffs Descenso Semi-finals
Global 5-5
Paganese vs Bisceglie analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
38.9%
Win probability
1.35
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.4%
3-0
3%
4-1
1.3%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.5%
2-0
6.7%
3-1
3.8%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
11.4%
1-0
9.9%
2-1
8.4%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.1%
26.3%
Draw
0-0
7.4%
1-1
12.5%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.3%
34.8%
Win probability
1.26
Expected goals
0-1
9.3%
1-2
7.9%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
19.8%
0-2
5.9%
1-3
3.3%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9.9%
0-3
2.5%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.7%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Paganese
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 May. 2019 |
PAG
1 - 0
VIT
16%
23%
62%
|
36 | 50 | 14 | 0 |
| 28 Apr. 2019 |
TRA
2 - 1
PAG
78%
15%
7%
|
36 | 59 | 23 | 0 |
| 20 Apr. 2019 |
PAG
2 - 1
FRA
14%
23%
63%
|
35 | 51 | 16 | +1 |
| 14 Apr. 2019 |
MAT
0 - 3
PAG
49%
22%
29%
|
34 | 32 | 2 | +1 |
| 07 Apr. 2019 |
PAG
0 - 1
RIE
18%
23%
58%
|
35 | 47 | 12 | -1 |
Matches
Bisceglie
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 May. 2019 |
BIS
4 - 3
CAV
15%
21%
64%
|
40 | 48 | 8 | 0 |
| 28 Apr. 2019 |
FRA
2 - 1
BIS
69%
20%
11%
|
41 | 51 | 10 | -1 |
| 20 Apr. 2019 |
BIS
0 - 1
RIE
28%
27%
45%
|
42 | 47 | 5 | -1 |
| 07 Apr. 2019 |
CAT
2 - 1
BIS
72%
18%
10%
|
42 | 55 | 13 | 0 |
| 31 Mar. 2019 |
BIS
0 - 0
JUS
16%
26%
58%
|
41 | 58 | 17 | +1 |