Paganese vs Benevento analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
10.4%
Win probability
0.59
Expected goals
4-0
<0%
+4
<0%
3-0
0.3%
4-1
0.1%
+3
0.3%
2-0
1.4%
3-1
0.5%
4-2
0.1%
+2
2%
1-0
4.7%
2-1
2.7%
3-2
0.5%
4-3
<0%
+1
7.9%
20.1%
Draw
0-0
8%
1-1
9.1%
2-2
2.6%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
20.1%
69.6%
Win probability
1.94
Expected goals
0-1
15.5%
1-2
8.8%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.2%
-1
26.2%
0-2
15%
1-3
5.7%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
21.6%
0-3
9.7%
1-4
2.8%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
12.8%
0-4
4.7%
1-5
1.1%
2-6
0.1%
-4
5.9%
0-5
1.8%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
2.2%
0-6
0.6%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.7%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-21%
-10%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Paganese
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Nov. 2014 |
FCS
0 - 1
PAG
51%
24%
25%
|
44 | 43 | 1 | 0 |
| 01 Nov. 2014 |
PAG
2 - 1
SSB
47%
27%
26%
|
44 | 43 | 1 | 0 |
| 25 Oct. 2014 |
ISC
0 - 2
PAG
33%
28%
39%
|
44 | 38 | 6 | 0 |
| 18 Oct. 2014 |
PAG
2 - 2
ASM
56%
25%
19%
|
45 | 38 | 7 | -1 |
| 11 Oct. 2014 |
NUO
1 - 1
PAG
35%
27%
38%
|
43 | 35 | 8 | +2 |
Matches
Benevento
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Nov. 2014 |
BEN
1 - 0
CAS
77%
17%
6%
|
64 | 42 | 22 | 0 |
| 02 Nov. 2014 |
BEN
3 - 1
VIG
79%
16%
5%
|
65 | 41 | 24 | -1 |
| 26 Oct. 2014 |
RAA
0 - 2
BEN
8%
18%
74%
|
65 | 28 | 37 | 0 |
| 19 Oct. 2014 |
BEN
0 - 0
SAL
54%
25%
21%
|
66 | 59 | 7 | -1 |
| 11 Oct. 2014 |
SSB
0 - 1
BEN
11%
20%
69%
|
66 | 46 | 20 | 0 |