Paganese vs Benevento analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
11.2%
Win probability
0.6
Expected goals
4-0
<0%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.3%
4-1
0.1%
+3
0.4%
2-0
1.5%
3-1
0.6%
4-2
0.1%
+2
2.2%
1-0
5.1%
2-1
2.9%
3-2
0.5%
4-3
0.1%
+1
8.5%
20.9%
Draw
0-0
8.4%
1-1
9.5%
2-2
2.7%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
20.9%
67.9%
Win probability
1.88
Expected goals
0-1
15.7%
1-2
8.9%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.2%
-1
26.5%
0-2
14.7%
1-3
5.6%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
21.1%
0-3
9.2%
1-4
2.6%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
12.1%
0-4
4.3%
1-5
1%
2-6
0.1%
-4
5.4%
0-5
1.6%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1.9%
0-6
0.5%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.6%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Paganese
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Mar. 2013 |
CAR
1 - 2
PAG
49%
26%
25%
|
46 | 45 | 1 | 0 |
| 10 Mar. 2013 |
PAG
0 - 1
NOC
20%
27%
53%
|
46 | 61 | 15 | 0 |
| 03 Mar. 2013 |
PIS
0 - 0
PAG
72%
19%
9%
|
46 | 60 | 14 | 0 |
| 17 Feb. 2013 |
PAG
0 - 0
ACP
32%
28%
41%
|
45 | 50 | 5 | +1 |
| 10 Feb. 2013 |
ASG
1 - 0
PAG
61%
23%
16%
|
46 | 51 | 5 | -1 |
Matches
Benevento
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Mar. 2013 |
ACP
1 - 1
BEN
17%
23%
60%
|
63 | 50 | 13 | 0 |
| 10 Mar. 2013 |
BEN
1 - 0
SOR
54%
25%
21%
|
63 | 56 | 7 | 0 |
| 03 Mar. 2013 |
ASA
1 - 1
BEN
18%
24%
58%
|
63 | 53 | 10 | 0 |
| 17 Feb. 2013 |
BEN
2 - 1
ASG
65%
22%
13%
|
62 | 52 | 10 | +1 |
| 10 Feb. 2013 |
BEN
1 - 0
CAR
71%
20%
9%
|
62 | 47 | 15 | 0 |