Paganese vs Melfi analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
50.6%
Win probability
1.48
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.8%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.4%
3-0
5%
4-1
1.7%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.9%
2-0
10.1%
3-1
4.5%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
15.4%
1-0
13.6%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
25%
26.3%
Draw
0-0
9.2%
1-1
12.3%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.3%
23%
Win probability
0.91
Expected goals
0-1
8.3%
1-2
5.6%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.1%
-1
15.3%
0-2
3.8%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
5.8%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.6%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Paganese
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Mar. 2016 |
ISC
0 - 2
PAG
36%
28%
36%
|
44 | 40 | 4 | 0 |
| 19 Mar. 2016 |
PAG
0 - 1
BEN
14%
22%
64%
|
43 | 59 | 16 | +1 |
| 12 Mar. 2016 |
NUO
0 - 0
PAG
62%
24%
14%
|
43 | 53 | 10 | 0 |
| 06 Mar. 2016 |
PAG
1 - 1
MON
45%
26%
29%
|
44 | 43 | 1 | -1 |
| 28 Feb. 2016 |
AKR
1 - 0
PAG
70%
18%
12%
|
44 | 51 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
Melfi
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Mar. 2016 |
ASM
0 - 1
FIA
31%
26%
43%
|
44 | 52 | 8 | 0 |
| 19 Mar. 2016 |
MES
1 - 0
ASM
54%
25%
21%
|
44 | 44 | 0 | 0 |
| 12 Mar. 2016 |
ASM
1 - 1
MAR
56%
24%
20%
|
44 | 41 | 3 | 0 |
| 06 Mar. 2016 |
LEC
1 - 1
ASM
76%
18%
7%
|
44 | 63 | 19 | 0 |
| 28 Feb. 2016 |
ASM
1 - 4
MON
55%
24%
21%
|
46 | 42 | 4 | -2 |