Paganese vs Cittadella analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
31.2%
Win probability
1.07
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.7%
3-0
2%
4-1
0.7%
5-2
0.1%
+3
2.7%
2-0
5.5%
3-1
2.5%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
8.5%
1-0
10.3%
2-1
7%
3-2
1.6%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
19.1%
27.9%
Draw
0-0
9.7%
1-1
13.1%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.9%
40.9%
Win probability
1.27
Expected goals
0-1
12.3%
1-2
8.3%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
22.7%
0-2
7.8%
1-3
3.5%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
11.9%
0-3
3.3%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4.6%
0-4
1%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.4%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-21%
-9%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Paganese
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Apr. 2008 |
CAV
1 - 2
PAG
63%
22%
14%
|
47 | 58 | 11 | 0 |
| 20 Apr. 2008 |
PAG
1 - 1
VER
41%
28%
31%
|
47 | 52 | 5 | 0 |
| 13 Apr. 2008 |
PRO
1 - 1
PAG
57%
24%
19%
|
47 | 51 | 4 | 0 |
| 06 Apr. 2008 |
PAG
3 - 1
VNZ
34%
29%
38%
|
45 | 56 | 11 | +2 |
| 31 Mar. 2008 |
TER
2 - 1
PAG
57%
25%
19%
|
46 | 52 | 6 | -1 |
Matches
Cittadella
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Apr. 2008 |
CTT
2 - 2
UNI
59%
24%
17%
|
61 | 55 | 6 | 0 |
| 20 Apr. 2008 |
ASS
3 - 1
CTT
34%
29%
37%
|
62 | 55 | 7 | -1 |
| 13 Apr. 2008 |
CTT
1 - 1
TER
63%
22%
15%
|
62 | 53 | 9 | 0 |
| 06 Apr. 2008 |
FOL
0 - 2
CTT
34%
30%
37%
|
62 | 56 | 6 | 0 |
| 31 Mar. 2008 |
CTT
1 - 1
LEC
68%
20%
11%
|
62 | 50 | 12 | 0 |