Paganese vs Akragas analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
35%
Win probability
1.24
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.1%
3-0
2.5%
4-1
1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.7%
2-0
6%
3-1
3.3%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
10%
1-0
9.7%
2-1
7.9%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
20%
26.7%
Draw
0-0
7.8%
1-1
12.7%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.7%
38.3%
Win probability
1.31
Expected goals
0-1
10.2%
1-2
8.3%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
21.1%
0-2
6.7%
1-3
3.6%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
11.1%
0-3
2.9%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4.3%
0-4
1%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.3%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-22%
-31%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Paganese
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Nov. 2016 |
FON
3 - 1
PAG
61%
21%
18%
|
45 | 47 | 2 | 0 |
| 13 Nov. 2016 |
PAG
1 - 1
USF
14%
22%
65%
|
45 | 62 | 17 | 0 |
| 06 Nov. 2016 |
PAG
2 - 0
TAR
41%
26%
33%
|
44 | 44 | 0 | +1 |
| 30 Oct. 2016 |
CAT
2 - 1
PAG
77%
16%
7%
|
44 | 60 | 16 | 0 |
| 23 Oct. 2016 |
PAG
1 - 2
JUS
26%
27%
48%
|
45 | 52 | 7 | -1 |
Matches
Akragas
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Nov. 2016 |
AKR
0 - 0
MES
53%
24%
23%
|
47 | 47 | 0 | 0 |
| 13 Nov. 2016 |
SIR
4 - 2
AKR
46%
25%
29%
|
48 | 47 | 1 | -1 |
| 06 Nov. 2016 |
AKR
1 - 1
ASM
72%
17%
10%
|
48 | 41 | 7 | 0 |
| 30 Oct. 2016 |
MAT
3 - 1
AKR
57%
24%
19%
|
49 | 56 | 7 | -1 |
| 23 Oct. 2016 |
AKR
1 - 1
TAR
64%
20%
16%
|
49 | 43 | 6 | 0 |