Paganese vs AC Monza analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
38.4%
Win probability
1.27
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.2%
3-0
2.9%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.2%
2-0
6.9%
3-1
3.5%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
11.1%
1-0
11%
2-1
8.2%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.5%
27.3%
Draw
0-0
8.7%
1-1
12.9%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.3%
34.3%
Win probability
1.18
Expected goals
0-1
10.2%
1-2
7.6%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
20%
0-2
6%
1-3
3%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9.7%
0-3
2.4%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
3.4%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-21%
-2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Paganese
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Oct. 2010 |
SOR
1 - 0
PAG
65%
21%
14%
|
53 | 59 | 6 | 0 |
| 17 Oct. 2010 |
PAG
0 - 2
PER
44%
28%
28%
|
54 | 55 | 1 | -1 |
| 10 Oct. 2010 |
REG
2 - 1
PAG
59%
24%
17%
|
54 | 61 | 7 | 0 |
| 03 Oct. 2010 |
PAG
0 - 0
RAV
34%
28%
39%
|
54 | 59 | 5 | 0 |
| 26 Sep. 2010 |
SPA
3 - 1
PAG
58%
25%
17%
|
55 | 62 | 7 | -1 |
Matches
AC Monza
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Oct. 2010 |
USC
2 - 3
ASS
63%
20%
17%
|
53 | 62 | 9 | 0 |
| 24 Oct. 2010 |
ASS
0 - 1
ACL
37%
27%
36%
|
54 | 61 | 7 | -1 |
| 17 Oct. 2010 |
SAL
2 - 0
ASS
51%
25%
24%
|
55 | 56 | 1 | -1 |
| 13 Oct. 2010 |
ASS
2 - 1
TRI
77%
15%
8%
|
55 | 40 | 15 | 0 |
| 10 Oct. 2010 |
ASS
2 - 0
PAV
70%
19%
11%
|
54 | 43 | 11 | +1 |