Paganese vs AC Monza analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
36.7%
Win probability
1.2
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.1%
3-0
2.7%
4-1
0.9%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.8%
2-0
6.7%
3-1
3.1%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
10.5%
1-0
11.2%
2-1
7.9%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.1%
27.8%
Draw
0-0
9.3%
1-1
13.1%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.8%
35.5%
Win probability
1.18
Expected goals
0-1
10.9%
1-2
7.7%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
20.7%
0-2
6.4%
1-3
3%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
10%
0-3
2.5%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.1%
-3
3.5%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Paganese
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Mar. 2010 |
PAG
2 - 1
BEN
25%
27%
48%
|
48 | 60 | 12 | 0 |
| 14 Mar. 2010 |
ACL
2 - 0
PAG
63%
23%
14%
|
48 | 59 | 11 | 0 |
| 07 Mar. 2010 |
PAG
1 - 1
ARZ
17%
25%
58%
|
48 | 64 | 16 | 0 |
| 28 Feb. 2010 |
FCV
1 - 0
PAG
34%
28%
39%
|
49 | 43 | 6 | -1 |
| 21 Feb. 2010 |
PAG
0 - 0
VAR
40%
29%
31%
|
49 | 52 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
AC Monza
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Mar. 2010 |
ASS
2 - 1
LEC
55%
24%
21%
|
52 | 49 | 3 | 0 |
| 14 Mar. 2010 |
USC
1 - 1
ASS
67%
20%
13%
|
51 | 61 | 10 | +1 |
| 07 Mar. 2010 |
ASS
3 - 4
SOR
46%
26%
28%
|
52 | 53 | 1 | -1 |
| 28 Feb. 2010 |
USA
1 - 2
ASS
48%
26%
26%
|
51 | 51 | 0 | +1 |
| 21 Feb. 2010 |
FOL
1 - 1
ASS
43%
27%
31%
|
51 | 50 | 1 | 0 |