Paganese vs Lumezzane analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
27.7%
Win probability
0.97
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.5%
3-0
1.6%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
0.1%
+3
2.1%
2-0
4.8%
3-1
2%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
7.2%
1-0
10%
2-1
6.3%
3-2
1.3%
4-3
0.1%
+1
17.7%
28%
Draw
0-0
10.3%
1-1
13%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
<0%
0
28%
44.3%
Win probability
1.31
Expected goals
0-1
13.4%
1-2
8.5%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
23.9%
0-2
8.8%
1-3
3.7%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0%
-2
13.1%
0-3
3.8%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
5.2%
0-4
1.2%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.6%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-27%
+13%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Paganese
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Oct. 2009 |
ARZ
2 - 0
PAG
68%
21%
11%
|
50 | 63 | 13 | 0 |
| 11 Oct. 2009 |
PAG
0 - 0
FCV
64%
22%
14%
|
50 | 40 | 10 | 0 |
| 04 Oct. 2009 |
VAR
5 - 2
PAG
40%
29%
32%
|
51 | 46 | 5 | -1 |
| 27 Sep. 2009 |
PAG
0 - 0
PRO
33%
29%
39%
|
51 | 58 | 7 | 0 |
| 20 Sep. 2009 |
SOR
1 - 1
PAG
56%
25%
19%
|
51 | 57 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Lumezzane
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Oct. 2009 |
PRO
0 - 1
ACL
46%
25%
29%
|
57 | 57 | 0 | 0 |
| 18 Oct. 2009 |
ACL
1 - 4
NOV
48%
27%
25%
|
58 | 57 | 1 | -1 |
| 11 Oct. 2009 |
BEN
2 - 1
ACL
45%
28%
28%
|
58 | 60 | 2 | 0 |
| 07 Oct. 2009 |
ACL
2 - 1
ACR
73%
18%
9%
|
58 | 34 | 24 | 0 |
| 04 Oct. 2009 |
ACL
0 - 0
USC
41%
27%
32%
|
58 | 61 | 3 | 0 |