Paganese vs AC Isola Liri analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
71.1%
Win probability
1.92
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.9%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
2.2%
4-0
4.9%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.1%
+4
6%
3-0
10.3%
4-1
2.6%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
13.1%
2-0
16.1%
3-1
5.3%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
<0%
+2
22.1%
1-0
16.8%
2-1
8.3%
3-2
1.4%
4-3
0.1%
+1
26.6%
19.8%
Draw
0-0
8.7%
1-1
8.7%
2-2
2.2%
3-3
0.2%
4-4
<0%
0
19.8%
9.1%
Win probability
0.52
Expected goals
0-1
4.5%
1-2
2.3%
2-3
0.4%
3-4
0%
-1
7.2%
0-2
1.2%
1-3
0.4%
2-4
0%
-2
1.6%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Paganese
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Sep. 2011 |
MIL
0 - 2
PAG
33%
27%
40%
|
48 | 38 | 10 | 0 |
| 04 Sep. 2011 |
PAG
2 - 0
FCC
73%
19%
8%
|
48 | 19 | 29 | 0 |
| 15 May. 2011 |
PAG
1 - 0
FCS
50%
26%
24%
|
49 | 44 | 5 | -1 |
| 08 May. 2011 |
ASG
3 - 1
PAG
57%
26%
18%
|
49 | 56 | 7 | 0 |
| 01 May. 2011 |
PAG
0 - 1
SPE
38%
29%
33%
|
50 | 51 | 1 | -1 |
Matches
AC Isola Liri
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Sep. 2011 |
ACI
4 - 0
RAA
26%
28%
46%
|
24 | 34 | 10 | 0 |
| 08 May. 2011 |
MAT
1 - 0
ACI
55%
24%
21%
|
26 | 26 | 0 | -2 |
| 01 May. 2011 |
ACI
2 - 2
FON
46%
26%
28%
|
26 | 24 | 2 | 0 |
| 23 Apr. 2011 |
FCC
0 - 0
ACI
47%
26%
27%
|
26 | 24 | 2 | 0 |
| 17 Apr. 2011 |
ACI
0 - 2
ASM
42%
26%
32%
|
27 | 27 | 0 | -1 |