Rio Cup Last 16
Global 3-0
Paduano vs Madureira RJ analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
19.6%
Win probability
1.03
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.4%
3-0
0.9%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
1.5%
2-0
2.7%
3-1
1.8%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
0.1%
+2
5%
1-0
5.2%
2-1
5.3%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
12.6%
21.7%
Draw
0-0
5.1%
1-1
10.2%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
21.7%
58.7%
Win probability
1.95
Expected goals
0-1
9.9%
1-2
9.9%
2-3
3.3%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
23.8%
0-2
9.6%
1-3
6.5%
2-4
1.6%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
17.9%
0-3
6.3%
1-4
3.1%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
-3
10.1%
0-4
3%
1-5
1.2%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
4.5%
0-5
1.2%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0.1%
-5
1.6%
0-6
0.4%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.5%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+5%
-3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Paduano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Aug. 2022 |
AME
0 - 3
PAD
72%
17%
11%
|
33 | 46 | 13 | 0 |
| 10 Aug. 2022 |
PAD
0 - 0
AME
16%
21%
63%
|
32 | 47 | 15 | +1 |
| 05 Dec. 2021 |
PAD
2 - 1
ADC
46%
22%
31%
|
31 | 28 | 3 | +1 |
| 28 Nov. 2021 |
ADC
1 - 3
PAD
41%
23%
36%
|
30 | 30 | 0 | +1 |
| 24 Nov. 2021 |
PAD
0 - 0
CER
42%
23%
36%
|
30 | 30 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Madureira RJ
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Mar. 2022 |
NOV
3 - 0
MAD
51%
26%
23%
|
47 | 53 | 6 | 0 |
| 06 Mar. 2022 |
MAD
1 - 3
AUD
51%
26%
23%
|
48 | 46 | 2 | -1 |
| 25 Feb. 2022 |
BOA
1 - 2
MAD
49%
26%
26%
|
48 | 50 | 2 | 0 |
| 20 Feb. 2022 |
POR
0 - 0
MAD
57%
24%
19%
|
47 | 54 | 7 | +1 |
| 16 Feb. 2022 |
MAD
1 - 2
FLA
3%
13%
84%
|
48 | 89 | 41 | -1 |