Rio Cup Eliminatorias 1/16
Global 1-4
Paduano vs Petrópolis analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
31.3%
Win probability
1.3
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.7%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1%
3-0
2%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.3%
2-0
4.7%
3-1
3.2%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
8.9%
1-0
7.3%
2-1
7.5%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
17.8%
24.6%
Draw
0-0
5.6%
1-1
11.5%
2-2
5.9%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.6%
44.1%
Win probability
1.59
Expected goals
0-1
8.9%
1-2
9.1%
2-3
3.1%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
21.7%
0-2
7%
1-3
4.8%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
13.3%
0-3
3.7%
1-4
1.9%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
6.1%
0-4
1.5%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
2.2%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+5%
-37%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Paduano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Nov. 2023 |
SFC
1 - 0
PAD
39%
25%
36%
|
41 | 44 | 3 | 0 |
| 03 Nov. 2023 |
PAD
2 - 2
BAR
35%
25%
40%
|
41 | 42 | 1 | 0 |
| 29 Oct. 2023 |
CIG
1 - 7
PAD
18%
20%
62%
|
41 | 21 | 20 | 0 |
| 25 Oct. 2023 |
FRI
1 - 0
PAD
31%
24%
45%
|
41 | 38 | 3 | 0 |
| 21 Oct. 2023 |
PAD
0 - 0
DUQ
42%
25%
33%
|
42 | 40 | 2 | -1 |
Matches
Petrópolis
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Jul. 2024 |
PET
2 - 0
ADC
41%
26%
34%
|
44 | 41 | 3 | 0 |
| 27 Jul. 2024 |
PET
1 - 2
AUD
32%
27%
42%
|
44 | 47 | 3 | 0 |
| 20 Jul. 2024 |
SFC
0 - 1
PET
30%
26%
43%
|
46 | 42 | 4 | -2 |
| 13 Jul. 2024 |
PET
0 - 0
AFC
48%
25%
26%
|
46 | 40 | 6 | 0 |
| 06 Jul. 2024 |
CAB
0 - 0
PET
31%
25%
44%
|
46 | 40 | 6 | 0 |