Paduano vs Barra da Tijuca analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
35%
Win probability
1.41
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.3%
3-0
2.5%
4-1
1.3%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.1%
2-0
5.3%
3-1
3.8%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
10.2%
1-0
7.5%
2-1
8%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
19%
24.6%
Draw
0-0
5.3%
1-1
11.4%
2-2
6.1%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.6%
40.4%
Win probability
1.53
Expected goals
0-1
8.1%
1-2
8.7%
2-3
3.1%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
20.6%
0-2
6.2%
1-3
4.4%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
12%
0-3
3.2%
1-4
1.7%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
5.3%
0-4
1.2%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.8%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+6%
+34%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Paduano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Oct. 2023 |
CIG
1 - 7
PAD
18%
20%
62%
|
42 | 23 | 19 | 0 |
| 25 Oct. 2023 |
FRI
1 - 0
PAD
31%
24%
45%
|
43 | 40 | 3 | -1 |
| 21 Oct. 2023 |
PAD
0 - 0
DUQ
42%
25%
33%
|
43 | 42 | 1 | 0 |
| 15 Oct. 2023 |
SAO
0 - 0
PAD
27%
23%
50%
|
43 | 38 | 5 | 0 |
| 07 Oct. 2023 |
PAD
0 - 1
GOY
59%
22%
19%
|
44 | 32 | 12 | -1 |
Matches
Barra da Tijuca
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Oct. 2023 |
BAR
1 - 0
DUQ
41%
28%
32%
|
43 | 42 | 1 | 0 |
| 25 Oct. 2023 |
SAO
0 - 1
BAR
34%
26%
40%
|
42 | 39 | 3 | +1 |
| 20 Oct. 2023 |
BAR
1 - 2
GOY
56%
25%
20%
|
42 | 34 | 8 | 0 |
| 13 Oct. 2023 |
SER
1 - 4
BAR
33%
26%
41%
|
41 | 37 | 4 | +1 |
| 07 Oct. 2023 |
BAR
2 - 0
MAC
40%
26%
34%
|
40 | 37 | 3 | +1 |