Padroense vs Varzim analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
19.5%
Win probability
0.84
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.9%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
<0%
+3
1.2%
2-0
3%
3-1
1.4%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
4.7%
1-0
7.2%
2-1
4.9%
3-2
1.1%
4-3
0.1%
+1
13.3%
24.8%
Draw
0-0
8.5%
1-1
11.6%
2-2
4%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.8%
55.7%
Win probability
1.62
Expected goals
0-1
13.8%
1-2
9.4%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
25.6%
0-2
11.2%
1-3
5.1%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
17.2%
0-3
6%
1-4
2.1%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
8.4%
0-4
2.4%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.1%
-4
3.2%
0-5
0.8%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
1%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Padroense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Apr. 2012 |
PAR
1 - 2
PAD
42%
23%
35%
|
35 | 32 | 3 | 0 |
| 22 Apr. 2012 |
PAD
0 - 2
CIN
42%
25%
33%
|
36 | 40 | 4 | -1 |
| 15 Apr. 2012 |
AMA
1 - 1
PAD
61%
21%
18%
|
36 | 43 | 7 | 0 |
| 07 Apr. 2012 |
PAD
2 - 3
OLI
56%
22%
22%
|
37 | 34 | 3 | -1 |
| 01 Apr. 2012 |
BOA
4 - 2
PAD
74%
17%
9%
|
37 | 57 | 20 | 0 |
Matches
Varzim
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Apr. 2012 |
VAR
2 - 1
RIB
72%
19%
9%
|
61 | 40 | 21 | 0 |
| 22 Apr. 2012 |
RIB
0 - 1
VAR
28%
29%
44%
|
61 | 49 | 12 | 0 |
| 15 Apr. 2012 |
VAR
5 - 0
MAR
66%
21%
14%
|
61 | 46 | 15 | 0 |
| 07 Apr. 2012 |
MER
1 - 3
VAR
21%
25%
54%
|
61 | 34 | 27 | 0 |
| 01 Apr. 2012 |
VAR
0 - 0
MIR
64%
23%
13%
|
61 | 49 | 12 | 0 |