Padroense vs Oliveira Bairro analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
55.9%
Win probability
1.92
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.5%
4-0
2.7%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.1%
3-0
5.6%
4-1
3%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
9.4%
2-0
8.8%
3-1
6.3%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.1%
1-0
9.1%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.6%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.3%
22.1%
Draw
0-0
4.8%
1-1
10.3%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
22.1%
22%
Win probability
1.13
Expected goals
0-1
5.3%
1-2
5.8%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
13.6%
0-2
3%
1-3
2.2%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.8%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.9%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Padroense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Apr. 2012 |
BOA
4 - 2
PAD
74%
17%
9%
|
38 | 58 | 20 | 0 |
| 24 Mar. 2012 |
PAD
1 - 0
MAD
58%
21%
21%
|
38 | 33 | 5 | 0 |
| 18 Mar. 2012 |
OPE
3 - 2
PAD
57%
23%
20%
|
38 | 46 | 8 | 0 |
| 14 Mar. 2012 |
OLI
0 - 4
PAD
42%
24%
35%
|
37 | 34 | 3 | +1 |
| 11 Mar. 2012 |
PAD
1 - 2
ESP
19%
24%
57%
|
37 | 61 | 24 | 0 |
Matches
Oliveira Bairro
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Mar. 2012 |
OLI
4 - 0
CIN
29%
25%
46%
|
31 | 43 | 12 | 0 |
| 25 Mar. 2012 |
AMA
6 - 0
OLI
71%
18%
11%
|
32 | 45 | 13 | -1 |
| 18 Mar. 2012 |
OLI
1 - 1
PAR
48%
23%
30%
|
32 | 33 | 1 | 0 |
| 14 Mar. 2012 |
OLI
0 - 4
PAD
42%
24%
35%
|
34 | 37 | 3 | -2 |
| 11 Mar. 2012 |
OLI
0 - 3
BOA
21%
26%
53%
|
34 | 59 | 25 | 0 |