Padroense FC U17 vs Tondela U17 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
75%
Win probability
2.78
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.3%
7-0
0.6%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.8%
6-0
1.5%
7-1
0.6%
8-2
0.1%
+6
2.2%
5-0
3.2%
6-1
1.5%
7-2
0.3%
8-3
<0%
+5
5%
4-0
5.8%
5-1
3.2%
6-2
0.7%
7-3
0.1%
+4
9.8%
3-0
8.4%
4-1
5.7%
5-2
1.5%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
15.9%
2-0
9.1%
3-1
8.2%
4-2
2.8%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
20.6%
1-0
6.5%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
4%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
20.3%
14.5%
Draw
0-0
2.4%
1-1
6.4%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
14.5%
10.5%
Win probability
0.97
Expected goals
0-1
2.3%
1-2
3.1%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
7.1%
0-2
1.1%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0.1%
-2
2.5%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0.1%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
2-6
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-76%
-21%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
6º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
24
4º
7º
5º
26
5º
10º
6º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
5º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
3º
|
39 | 42 |
1º
|
18% | |
|
1º
|
40 | 41 |
2º
|
24% | |
|
2º
|
40 | 41 |
3º
|
56% | |
|
4º
|
32 | 32 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
|
6º
|
24 | 27 |
5º
|
85% | |
|
|
5º
|
26 | 26 |
6º
|
85% | |
|
7º
|
16 | 19 |
7º
|
80% | |
|
8º
|
16 | 16 |
8º
|
80% | |
|
9º
|
6 | 6 |
9º
|
97% | |
|
10º
|
5 | 5 |
10º
|
97% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Mid-table
|
85% | 15% |
|
Possible next round
|
15% | 85% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Padroense FC U17
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Apr. 2023 |
PAD
3 - 0
MER
69%
17%
14%
|
24 | 18 | 6 | 0 |
| 01 Apr. 2023 |
MAR
2 - 3
PAD
16%
18%
67%
|
24 | 15 | 9 | 0 |
| 11 Mar. 2023 |
ANA
0 - 3
PAD
6%
11%
83%
|
24 | 9 | 15 | 0 |
| 05 Mar. 2023 |
PAD
0 - 4
FAM
33%
22%
45%
|
25 | 32 | 7 | -1 |
| 26 Feb. 2023 |
PAÇ
2 - 1
PAD
29%
21%
50%
|
26 | 22 | 4 | -1 |
Matches
Tondela U17
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Apr. 2023 |
TON
0 - 2
PAÇ
22%
20%
58%
|
18 | 25 | 7 | 0 |
| 01 Apr. 2023 |
MER
2 - 2
TON
54%
20%
26%
|
18 | 18 | 0 | 0 |
| 12 Mar. 2023 |
BOA
3 - 1
TON
79%
13%
8%
|
18 | 30 | 12 | 0 |
| 05 Mar. 2023 |
TON
2 - 1
MAR
59%
19%
21%
|
17 | 15 | 2 | +1 |
| 26 Feb. 2023 |
TON
3 - 1
PAL
86%
10%
5%
|
17 | 9 | 8 | 0 |