Padroense FC Sub 17 vs Palmeiras FC Sub 17 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
91.5%
Win probability
3.39
Expected goals
10-0
0.1%
+10
0.1%
9-0
0.4%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.4%
8-0
1%
9-1
0.1%
+8
1.1%
7-0
2.3%
8-1
0.4%
9-2
<0%
+7
2.7%
6-0
4.8%
7-1
0.9%
8-2
0.1%
+6
5.8%
5-0
8.5%
6-1
1.9%
7-2
0.2%
+5
10.6%
4-0
12.5%
5-1
3.3%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
16.3%
3-0
14.8%
4-1
4.9%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
<0%
+3
20.4%
2-0
13.1%
3-1
5.8%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
19.9%
1-0
7.7%
2-1
5.1%
3-2
1.1%
4-3
0.1%
+1
14.1%
6.5%
Draw
0-0
2.3%
1-1
3%
2-2
1%
3-3
0.1%
4-4
<0%
0
6.5%
1.9%
Win probability
0.39
Expected goals
0-1
0.9%
1-2
0.6%
2-3
0.1%
3-4
0%
-1
1.6%
0-2
0.2%
1-3
0.1%
2-4
0%
-2
0.3%
0-3
0%
-3
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-81%
-37%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
6º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
24
4º
7º
5º
6
4º
10º
9º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
9º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
3º
|
39 | 42 |
1º
|
18% | |
|
1º
|
40 | 41 |
2º
|
24% | |
|
2º
|
40 | 41 |
3º
|
56% | |
|
4º
|
32 | 32 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
|
6º
|
24 | 27 |
5º
|
85% | |
|
5º
|
26 | 26 |
6º
|
85% | |
|
7º
|
16 | 19 |
7º
|
80% | |
|
8º
|
16 | 16 |
8º
|
80% | |
|
|
9º
|
6 | 6 |
9º
|
97% | |
|
10º
|
5 | 5 |
10º
|
97% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Mid-table
|
85% | 0% |
|
Possible next round
|
15% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Padroense FC Sub 17
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Apr. 2023 |
RIO
2 - 1
PAD
56%
20%
23%
|
24 | 29 | 5 | 0 |
| 16 Apr. 2023 |
PAD
0 - 1
TON
75%
15%
11%
|
25 | 17 | 8 | -1 |
| 08 Apr. 2023 |
PAD
3 - 0
MER
69%
17%
14%
|
24 | 18 | 6 | +1 |
| 01 Apr. 2023 |
MAR
2 - 3
PAD
16%
18%
67%
|
24 | 15 | 9 | 0 |
| 11 Mar. 2023 |
ANA
0 - 3
PAD
6%
11%
83%
|
24 | 9 | 15 | 0 |
Matches
Palmeiras FC Sub 17
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Apr. 2023 |
PAL
2 - 5
MER
6%
12%
82%
|
6 | 17 | 11 | 0 |
| 16 Apr. 2023 |
MAR
5 - 2
PAL
88%
8%
4%
|
7 | 14 | 7 | -1 |
| 08 Apr. 2023 |
PAL
2 - 4
ANA
52%
20%
28%
|
8 | 8 | 0 | -1 |
| 01 Apr. 2023 |
FAM
4 - 0
PAL
89%
8%
3%
|
8 | 34 | 26 | 0 |
| 11 Mar. 2023 |
PAÇ
6 - 1
PAL
89%
8%
3%
|
8 | 23 | 15 | 0 |