Paderborn vs Werder Bremen II analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
60.5%
Win probability
1.78
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.4%
4-0
3.2%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4.2%
3-0
7.1%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
10%
2-0
11.9%
3-1
5.7%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
18.8%
1-0
13.4%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.6%
22.9%
Draw
0-0
7.5%
1-1
10.8%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.9%
16.6%
Win probability
0.81
Expected goals
0-1
6.1%
1-2
4.4%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
11.6%
0-2
2.4%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.8%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+8%
+20%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Paderborn
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 May. 2009 |
VFR
3 - 3
PAD
25%
25%
50%
|
64 | 51 | 13 | 0 |
| 02 May. 2009 |
PAD
2 - 0
CZJ
58%
23%
19%
|
63 | 55 | 8 | +1 |
| 25 Apr. 2009 |
EBT
2 - 0
PAD
32%
27%
42%
|
64 | 56 | 8 | -1 |
| 18 Apr. 2009 |
PAD
1 - 2
SGD
62%
23%
16%
|
65 | 56 | 9 | -1 |
| 11 Apr. 2009 |
WUP
0 - 1
PAD
33%
26%
42%
|
65 | 55 | 10 | 0 |
Matches
Werder Bremen II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 May. 2009 |
WAC
2 - 2
WER
40%
27%
33%
|
54 | 54 | 0 | 0 |
| 03 May. 2009 |
WER
3 - 1
VFR
50%
24%
26%
|
53 | 52 | 1 | +1 |
| 25 Apr. 2009 |
CZJ
3 - 1
WER
47%
26%
27%
|
54 | 54 | 0 | -1 |
| 18 Apr. 2009 |
WER
1 - 1
EBT
50%
25%
24%
|
54 | 56 | 2 | 0 |
| 11 Apr. 2009 |
SGD
2 - 1
WER
49%
26%
25%
|
55 | 56 | 1 | -1 |