Paderborn vs VfL Osnabrück analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
70.1%
Win probability
2.29
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.4%
6-0
0.9%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.2%
5-0
2.3%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.1%
4-0
5%
5-1
1.9%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.3%
3-0
8.8%
4-1
4.2%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
13.9%
2-0
11.5%
3-1
7.4%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.8%
1-0
10%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.3%
17.8%
Draw
0-0
4.4%
1-1
8.4%
2-2
4%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
17.8%
12.1%
Win probability
0.84
Expected goals
0-1
3.7%
1-2
3.5%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
8.5%
0-2
1.5%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.8%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+7%
-17%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Paderborn
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Apr. 2021 |
EBT
0 - 0
PAD
29%
25%
45%
|
71 | 63 | 8 | 0 |
| 10 Apr. 2021 |
PAD
3 - 0
RTV
37%
25%
38%
|
70 | 75 | 5 | +1 |
| 04 Apr. 2021 |
FCN
2 - 1
PAD
34%
26%
40%
|
70 | 66 | 4 | 0 |
| 19 Mar. 2021 |
PAD
2 - 2
KSC
51%
23%
26%
|
70 | 70 | 0 | 0 |
| 15 Mar. 2021 |
STP
0 - 2
PAD
35%
26%
38%
|
69 | 67 | 2 | +1 |
Matches
VfL Osnabrück
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Apr. 2021 |
OSN
0 - 3
F95
15%
20%
65%
|
61 | 74 | 13 | 0 |
| 14 Apr. 2021 |
OSN
0 - 1
SSV
35%
26%
40%
|
62 | 66 | 4 | -1 |
| 11 Apr. 2021 |
OSN
0 - 4
EBT
46%
26%
29%
|
63 | 62 | 1 | -1 |
| 03 Apr. 2021 |
KSC
0 - 1
OSN
54%
25%
21%
|
62 | 70 | 8 | +1 |
| 21 Mar. 2021 |
OSN
1 - 2
STP
33%
25%
41%
|
63 | 66 | 3 | -1 |