2. Bundesliga - Play Offs Promotion Final
Global 2-0
Paderborn vs VfL Osnabrück analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
49%
Win probability
1.69
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
1.9%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.8%
3-0
4.5%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
7.3%
2-0
8%
3-1
5.4%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
14.9%
1-0
9.4%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.8%
24%
Draw
0-0
5.6%
1-1
11.3%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24%
27%
Win probability
1.2
Expected goals
0-1
6.7%
1-2
6.7%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
16.1%
0-2
4%
1-3
2.7%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.4%
0-3
1.6%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.6%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-4%
-11%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Paderborn
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 May. 2009 |
SVS
0 - 3
PAD
22%
25%
53%
|
63 | 49 | 14 | 0 |
| 16 May. 2009 |
PAD
6 - 0
WAC
61%
23%
16%
|
63 | 53 | 10 | 0 |
| 12 May. 2009 |
PAD
0 - 2
WER
61%
23%
17%
|
64 | 55 | 9 | -1 |
| 09 May. 2009 |
VFR
3 - 3
PAD
25%
25%
50%
|
64 | 51 | 13 | 0 |
| 02 May. 2009 |
PAD
2 - 0
CZJ
58%
23%
19%
|
64 | 55 | 9 | 0 |
Matches
VfL Osnabrück
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 May. 2009 |
MSV
4 - 1
OSN
67%
20%
13%
|
59 | 73 | 14 | 0 |
| 17 May. 2009 |
OSN
2 - 2
RWA
42%
26%
33%
|
59 | 61 | 2 | 0 |
| 13 May. 2009 |
FCN
2 - 0
OSN
65%
22%
13%
|
60 | 78 | 18 | -1 |
| 08 May. 2009 |
OSN
2 - 1
AAA
28%
27%
46%
|
59 | 73 | 14 | +1 |
| 01 May. 2009 |
WEH
0 - 1
OSN
49%
25%
27%
|
58 | 59 | 1 | +1 |